Saturday, August 29, 2009

Trade the News

In volatile or fast moving markets, such as news trading events, it is imperative to be completely focused and care about how much margin you have to support the fluctuations that may result against you and possibly "eat" your account.

Certain news releases consistently move 30 to 50 pips and more in a predictable direction not in all cases. You only need to know the following strategies. First, news releases (Category I), which come directly from government agencies and other research departments that study and monitor economic trends, consistently move the market when released. You may exit the market before these news releases.

The first category of releases consistently results in strong moves, be careful when activating the EA within these events so may result in peaks that can affect you margin as previously advised. These numbers can change from time to time as market trends shifts.

Reports for USA Reports for UK Reports for Canada
Dev. Category I Dev. Category I Dev Category I
+/- 50k
+/- 1.5B
+/- 1.5
+/- 0.4%
+/- 0.2%
+/- 1.5%
+/- 0.7%
NonFarm Payrolls
Trade Balance
ISM Manuf.
GDP
CPI
Durable Goods
Retail Sales
+/- 500M
+/- 0.2%
+/- 0.4%
+/- 0.4%
+/- 0.5%
Trade balance
CPI
Retail sales
GDP
Ind. Production
+/- 15k
+/- 0.2%
+/- 0.3%
+/- 0.3%
+/- 0.5
Labor Change
CPI
Retail Sales
GDP
Merch. Trade

The second category is comprised of releases that can move the market and are good to watch. However, the like hood of a trade is lower than those releases in the first category.

Category II – US Reports Category II – UK Reports
  • Personal Income and Outlays
  • FOMC announcement
  • Michigan final consumer sentiment
  • NAPM Chicago
  • Philly fed survey
  • Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment
  • FOMC Minutes
  • Treasury International Capital (TIC)
  • Nationwide house price index
  • CIPS Services PMI
  • Halifax House price Index
  • MPC interest rate decision
  • PPI
  • RICS housing price index
  • MPC minutes
  • GFK Consumer confidence

Use our news indicator to keep track of the news releases and the effect on the market, we suggest to be careful in having the EA running during events with high impact on the market, and we strongly suggest to have the enough margin to trade during such events or exit the market. Alternatively simply trade during low volatility market conditions.

There are some trading pairs with low volatility. Furthermore, some USD pairs do not move a lot during Asia session. We will be mailing some pairs settings for our EA.

Market Timing:
marketimes

No comments:

Post a Comment